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My statistics
Sunday, November 16th, 2008 04:00


More precise stats of what I punt.

SOCCER
Ekstraklasa
Staked: 128.00
Balance: -35.15
ROI: 73%

I Liga
Staked: 39.00
Balance: +13.91
ROI: 136%

II Liga
Staked: 51.00
Balance: +27.30
ROI: 154%

Polish Cups
Staked: 33.00
Balance: +10.32
ROI: 131%

UEFA Cup
Staked: 23.00
Balance: -4.20
ROI: 82%

WC Qual.
Staked: 3.00
Balance: -3.00
ROI: 0%

BASKETBALL
PLKK (Women League)
Staked: 55.00
Balance: +16.59
ROI: 130%

PLK (Men League)
Staked: 17.00
Balance: -17.00
ROI: 0%

Euroleague (men)
Staked: 4.00
Balance: -4.00
ROI: 0%

HANDBALL
International (men)
Staked: 15.00
Balance: -2.45
ROI: 84%

VOLLEYBALL
PlusLiga (Men League)
Staked: 5.00
Balance: -5.00
ROI: 0%

PlusLiga Kobiet (Women League)
Staked: 6.00
Balance: +6.60
ROI: 210%

TENNIS
ATP
Staked: 10.00
Balance: -0.76
ROI: 92%

WINTER SPORTS
Biathlon
Staked: 41.00
Balance: +0.70
ROI: 102%






III and IV Liga stats and help
Friday, September 05th, 2008 23:00


Polish lower leagues are currently offered only by Betsafe, Scandic and new bookmaker Tobet.com (they seem to be Nordicbet affiliate). Tobet and Betsafe have also IV liga games on offer.

If you're using non-Polish version of Scandic you won't see all Polish markets. To do so just click on Polish flag to get the Polish version of the site, and you'll see III Liga market under Polska.

For III and IV Liga picks outside of my region I will rarely give you any explanations as I know less than about my local teams. Those picks will be based on my general knowledge and on previous games and current form. Of course the most important thing is odds and trying to find bookmaker mistakes. Please forgive me but I just want to be fair and don't want to write bla-bla's just to write something.

For tables, stats etc. please visit best Polish site with tables of basicly every football league in Poland.

www.90minut.pl

On the left side of the main site you'll see leagues listed - just choose the one you're interested in. IV Liga divisions are listed under "Nizsze Ligi" - you have to get inside and chose the region you're looking for.

III and IV Liga Stats:

Staked: 137.00
Net balance: +25.10
ROI: 118%






Saturday, May 02nd, 2009 11:00
Football - Poland
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Jagiellonia   Result: 
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  1.83  Verified odd Bookmaker:  StanJames   vCash: No
Posted: May 02, 2009, 04:55




Ekstraklasa

vs

Jagiellonia improved a lot since autumn. Now they do have not only serious fans support, but also serious players like Frankowski, Grosicki or Bruno, who are one of the best in-form players of the whole league. Their are doing well, especially in Bialystok (8-2-2), Today Jaga has a full squad to choose from besides GK Gikiewicz. That's not a real threat though as I don't think we will see a lot of dangerous situations in front of Jaga's goal. The traffic will go the other way tonight as Odra are really poor when playing away. Only 6 goals scored outside Wodzislaw says a lot about their potential away, Long trip to Bialystok, where there is always fanatic support for the local team won't make it any easier. Jagiellonia's win is highly probable.






Saturday, May 02nd, 2009 10:00
Football - Poland
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Legia (-1.5)   Result: 
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  2.00  Verified odd Bookmaker:  188bet   vCash: No
Posted: May 02, 2009, 04:46




Ekstraklasa

vs

Legia on it's next step to gain chamiponship title as they meet LKS in home game. They are doing really good at home with 9-3-0 balance. They are scoring a lot of goals in front of their fans. If won, it's most often by more than one goal (30-5 goal balance at home). This bet would be a pretty tricky one with full LKS squad, as Lodz's team is totally different one from the one they had in autumn. But today Kujawa, Swierczewski, Drumlak, Geworian and Czerkas (all very important) are all out. Adding the fact that first 4 are all midfielders LKS will start this game without a single good midfield player. This will make really easy job for prolific Legia midfield. LKS is nearly sure of avoiding relegation, but the situation in the team isn't the best as they haven't been training for one day to protest against poor financial situatian (they don't get their wages for some 3 months now). All in all easy Legia's victory expected. High stakes on this one.






Friday, May 01st, 2009 10:30
Tennis - ATP
Pick:  Kubot   Result: 2:1
Stake:  4/10   Odds:  2.75   Odds not verified by Blogabet!
Bookmaker:  Sportingbet   vCash: No
Posted: May 01, 2009, 05:11




ATP Challenger Series Ostrava

vs

Best Polish tennis gun Lukasz Kubot meets Czech Hajek on his home clay in Ostrava. I think chances in this one are 50-50 and it's no reason for Hajek to be such a favourite. Hajek won 5 games in row here in Ostrava (including qualies) but besides Mayer there were no serious names. In the previous weeks he lost against some poor guys like Robert. Kubot's form on the other hand seems to be rising - he won over quality players like Gimeno-Traver or Baghdatis. He lost some matches too of course but it was against players league above Hajek like Zverev, Bellucci or Koellerer. I think he has some good chance to win today against average Czech who is below 300 position in rankings. Kubot of course isn't a top gun but still he is experienced top-200 challenger player and should be treated with more respect by odds compilers. Middle stakes for this very generous offer from Sportingbet






Monday, April 20th, 2009 12:00
Basketball - Poland
Discuss in forum (2 entries)
Pick:  Under 161   Result: Over
Stake:  6/10   Odds:  1.99  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 20, 2009, 06:04




Dominet Bank Ekstraliga (Men Basketball League)

vs

This is quite popular bet today in Poland as two best teams in the league meet in a direct matchup in league's semi-finals. This line is way over reality here. In QF both teams faced weaker opponents and played pretty careless offensive games - that's why we had a lot of overs there. Prokom was letting their opponents over 90 pts which won't happen here for sure as they are really motivated before the game. Anwil is also good defensive team way better than Ostrow. Last game against Stal has shown Prokom's real defensive potential when the let opponents to score only 74. Today their defense will be even tougher I guess and Anwil will also stand good in defense as this is their only chance to defeat Sopot team. Narrow Prokom win (sth like 75-70 is what I expect here). Middle to high stakes reccomended.






Saturday, March 28th, 2009 10:00
Football - Poland
Pick:  Spartakus +1 1X2 Handicap   Result: 2:1
Stake:  2/10   Odds:  5.85   Odds not verified by Blogabet!
Bookmaker:  Betsafe   vCash: Yes
Posted: Mar 27, 2009, 09:00




III liga gr.lubelsko-podkarpacka

vs

This bet may not be obvious when looking at the table but the reality is quite different. It is mostly about the revolution in Spartakus's squad - they sacked their former coach and hired new one from Ukraine. Along with the coach there are 12 new players in Spartakus - all from Ukraine. Among them there are some with experience in ukrainian top flight (incl. former Karpaty Lviv Karabyn). It proved to be excellent move as Spartakus have played 13 test games and lost none of them although sparingpartners were really strong (test games included two wins against 1st div. Motor). This bet is in fact the same as X2.

P.s. This is only my additional bet for this game. The main one you can see just below - I've added it as regular post since Tobet is not supported by Blogabet.






Stal Rzeszow - Spartakus Szarowola
Saturday, March 28th, 2009 06:00


III liga gr.lubelsko-podkarpacka

vs

With this squad and attitude that they are on a good way to maintain 3rd div status it seems impossible to me that Spartakus will lose with more than 2 goals to any of the teams in the league - even to the main promotion candidates from Rzeszow.

Pick: 2 (+3 1x2 handicap)

2.15
8/10 Tobet

2:1 FT
+9,2u






Karkonosze Jelenia Gora - Kuznia Jawor
Saturday, March 28th, 2009 09:00


IV liga gr. dolnoslaska

vs

These odds making Kuznia a favourite are simply ridiculous. Karkonosze is a team I support but I'm not being even a little biased with this bet. I would rate chances of the teams at 65-35. Kuznia are newcomers to this league and they made pretty good start in autumn round with some nice wins, incl. 2:1 against Karkonosze at home. They have new prolific striker Felich from 3rd div. Polonia/Sparta who scored 4 goals against Puma last week. But Puma is the weakest team in the league and Kuznia are currently even on points with Karkonosze so I absolutely see no reason making them favourites especially away from home, where they are nothing more than average (2-1-3). Karkonosze are strong traditional club who was among promotion contenders before the season. The autumn round was bad for them and the most that they can fight for now is 2nd spot. They have young though experienced for IV liga level squad and have also signed some interesting players (ukrainian Lapin from Dinamo-3 Kiev, Burszta from Polonia/Sparta). Karkonosze plays test matches with Kuznia before almost every round and they win it all easily – 4 last won, 7:4 month ago and 4:0 before autumn round. It's gonna be more difficult on Saturday but it's KSK who are more experienced team and closer to win in my opinion and at these odds it's a real bargain. If I was to set odds I would probably give no more than 1.85 for 1. It may be also important to add that Karkonosze's coach Dulat comes from Jawor and he knows the rival really well.

Historical balance of Karkonosze - Kuznia played in jelenia Gora looks really good for JG based club - 6-1-2 17-7.

There is a betting contest with over 50 competitors on one of IV liga club internet site and till now estimations for this game are 31-6-5 so I am not the only one who expects KSK to win. Solid stakes on this one.

P.s. You can get the same at betsafe but it's „only” at 2.35 (still worth a shot imo).

Pick: 1

2.80
7/10 Tobet

0:0 FT
-7u






Saturday, March 28th, 2009 07:00
Football - Poland
Discuss in forum (1 entries)
Pick:  Concordia Piotrkow Tryb.   Result: Not registered
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.35  Verified odd Bookmaker:  BWIN   vCash: No
Posted: Mar 26, 2009, 07:03




II liga gr. wschodnia

vs

As long as odds are more tha 1.20 this is gonna be my bet - week by week. Of course I mean bets against club from Lomza, which, as I've already written before play with junior squad. They lost 6:0 last week and it looks like their only goal this round will be scoring a goal because they are two levels below any team in this league. Now they meet Concordia from Piotrkow who are fighting to avoid relegation. They are on similar level to Okocimski who won without any problem in Lomza 2 weeks ago. Concordia won first game 4:1 and similar score is expected on Saturday. It is a shame I missed opening odds of 1.45 but 1.35 is still more than playable for me.






Wednesday, March 25th, 2009 09:00
Football - Poland
Pick:  Olimpia Elblag -1 (EH)   Result: Not registered
Stake:  2/10   Odds:  2.40   Odds not verified by Blogabet!
Bookmaker:  Betsafe   vCash: No
Posted: Mar 23, 2009, 06:26




2 more units for Olimpia's Handicap win (remeber that Olimpia won the first game 7:0)






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Lukasz Poland
 
Info

Premium tipster!
since 09.2008

83 verified odds
19 unverified odds

102
picks
-9
profit
-2%
yield
 
Win-Loss-Void: 49-48-5 
Win rate: 51% 
Stake avg.: 4.6 
Odd avg.: 1.98 
Staked: 444.00 
Returned: 435.36 
Streak: ?LossLossLossLossLossWinVoid 
vCash (0/0): + $0.00 
 
 
Categories

Basketball
Euroleague -4 
Poland -0 
Football
Europa League -4 
Poland +4 
WC Qual. -3 
Handball
International -2 
Tennis
ATP -1 
Volleyball
Other +2 
WinterSports
Biathlon +1 
 
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